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2024-12-13 11:59:39

Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Jingao Technology to over-allocation, with a target price of RMB 27.36. Tongwei shares will be upgraded to overweight with a target price of RMB 39.53.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.The performance of deep thinking AI model exceeds the existing weather forecast. A study published in the new issue of Nature reported the latest machine learning model introduced by deep thinking. The model can make reliable probabilistic weather forecast according to current and future weather, and its performance not only exceeds the best traditional medium-range weather forecast, but also can better predict extreme weather, tropical cyclone route and wind energy production.


Public offerings frequently employ conservative products of fund managers to seek attack. Driven by the positive sentiment in the stock market, many fund companies have recently strengthened the "share" of products and the layout of specific tracks by hiring more aggressive fund managers. The reporter noted that in the announcements of hiring fund managers by many fund companies, the importance of product "stock" and high flexibility track was highlighted. For example, some conservative funds hire fund managers who like high positions, some funds who buy dividend resources stocks hire internet fund managers, and some funds hope to strengthen the layout of hard technology and hire semiconductor fund managers. The insiders believe that Public Offering of Fund's offensive features in hiring more fund managers are related to his judgment on the positive rebound in the stock market. Many fund companies stressed that even if the market outlook index is average, structural opportunities will be highlighted and the profit-making effect will not decrease, which may be a market feature for a long time to come. (Securities Times)Goldman Sachs upgraded Societe Generale to neutral. Chris Hallam, an analyst at Goldman Sachs, had a previous rating of sell. The target price is 29.25 euros, which is 9% higher.The new format is superimposed with new links, and Zhejiang private enterprises are busy going out to sea, and Zhejiang private enterprises have become the main force of "going out to sea". Data show that from January to October this year, there were 106,000 private enterprises with import and export performance in Zhejiang Province, an increase of 8.3%; The total import and export value is 3.53 trillion yuan, accounting for 80.8% of the total import and export value of the province. Recently, the reporter learned from interviews in Ningbo, Yiwu and other places in Zhejiang that despite the severe macroeconomic situation, the advantages of industrial clusters, technology and manufacturing in China are still obvious. Many private enterprises seize the new opportunities of overseas trade, lay a solid foundation in the direction of R&D, design and brand management, and sketch a new growth curve; At the same time, under the impetus of the government, cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouses and other new formats go hand in hand and smooth the new link of "going out to sea". (SSE)


Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)Brazil will auction a foreign exchange credit line of up to $4 billion on December 12th.In recent years, the installed capacity of new energy generation in China has increased rapidly, and the demand for new energy storage and other regulatory resources has also increased. The energy storage development track is competing with each other, and the total output value of the industry will reach trillion level. In many new energy storage routes, lithium-ion batteries occupy more than 90% of the energy storage, and they are firmly in the first place; All-vanadium redox flow battery has high hopes because of its advantages of high safety, long life and expansibility, and has a good application prospect in the field of large-scale energy storage. This year, Sichuan Province issued the first national special policy to support the development of vanadium battery industry, Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province put forward the vision of building "China Vanadium Power Capital", and the demonstration project of all-vanadium liquid energy storage power station with commercial lease mode was launched here. In November, the project completed the bidding for the procurement of all-vanadium flow battery equipment, which has benchmarking significance for the integration and development of vanadium energy storage industry and financial services industry. (Securities Times)

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